If you can believe it, the Golden Globes are finally here this Sunday. However, I still have no clue what is winning what minus a few exceptions because the Hollywood Foreign Press Association can be very impossible to pin down. But I shall do my best to predict what will win in each of the film categories anyhow. I will also share what I think could win and what should win each category.
Without further ado, here are my predictions/picks for the Golden Globes.
Best Motion Picture-Drama:
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born
Will Win: A Star Is Born
Could Win: Black Panther
Should Win: If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born winning here seems like a pretty safe call. A movie about the entertainment industry feels like something the HFPA will salivate over. However, despite A Star Is Born being a safe bet, Black Panther could pull off an Avatar-style upset thanks to its status as a cultural and box office phenomenon.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Widows
Best Actor In A Motion Picture-Drama:
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman
Will Win: Bradley Cooper
Could/Should Win: Rami Malek
Bradley Cooper feels like an easy frontrunner for his work as a fading musician in A Star Is Born. However, they could always throw a curveball and award Rami Malek for his performance as a real-life musician in Bohemian Rhapsody. A Star Is Born may be a film about the entertainment industry which should make it irresistible to the HFPA but biopics still remain awards catnip.
Although if I’m being honest, despite the flaws Bohemian Rhapsody has, Rami Malek still gives the superior performance in my opinion.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
Best Actress In A Motion Picture-Drama:
Glenn Close, The Wife
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Nicole Kidman, Destroyer
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Rosamund Pike, A Private War
Will Win: Glenn Close
Could Win: Lady Gaga
Should Win: Melissa McCarthy
This is a real tough one. Do the Globes start the overdue train for Glenn Close or do they go “Gaga” over the famed pop star? Glenn Close may be the only representation for her film but again, her overdue narrative is strong enough to overcome that. For now, I’ll go with her for the win but Lady Gaga could easily benefit from her star power and ride the coattails of A Star Is Born to a win here.
That being said, I do hope to see Melissa McCarthy pull off an upset for her revelatory, career-best performance in Can You Ever Forgive Me?.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Toni Collette, Hereditary
Best Motion Picture-Musical Or Comedy:
Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
Green Book
Mary Poppins Returns
Vice
Will Win: Green Book
Could Win: Vice
Should Win: The Favourite
Ironically, this award will likely go to the one of the two films that don’t really have a place in this category: Green Book or Vice. For now, Green Book is my predicted winner but because it is the nomination leader, Vice will potentially win over it. But truth be told, The Favourite should be the one that lives up to its title. Either that or..any of the actual comedies in this category. Heck, there could be room for Crazy Rich Asians to pull off a “Hangover”-style upset. Who knows?
Should’ve Been Nominated: Sorry To Bother You
Best Actor In A Motion Picture-Musical Or Comedy:
Christian Bale, Vice
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Mary Poppins Returns
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Robert Redford, The Old Man And The Gun
John C. Reilly, Stan & Ollie
Will Win: Christian Bale
Could Win: Viggo Mortensen
Should Win: Robert Redford
Christian Bale feels like the likely winner since his performance is one strong place for them to reward Vice. Either him or Viggo Mortensen if Viggo is able to get his foot out of his mouth. It’s a likely two-person race but hopefully, Robert Redford can stand a better chance for his genuine, movie star turn in The Old Man And The Gun.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Lakeith Stanfield, Sorry To Bother You
Best Actress In A Motion Picture-Musical Or Comedy:
Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Elsie Fisher, Eighth Grade
Charlize Theron, Tully
Constance Wu, Crazy Rich Asians
Will Win: Emily Blunt
Could Win: Olivia Colman
Should Win: Honestly, any of them
What a category!!! Pretty much everyone in this category is a winner. But because there has to be one winner, this’ll likely go to Emily Blunt. She’s a Globes favorite playing an iconic, Oscar-winning role and she also is having a terrific year with Mary Poppins Returns and A Quiet Place. That being said, Olivia Colman is still her biggest challenger. She’s a previous Globe winner herself for The Night Manager and is the best shot at The Favourite being rewarded.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Lily James, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!
Best Supporting Actor In A Motion Picture:
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Vice
Will Win: Mahershala Ali
Could Win: Timothee Chalamet
Should Win: Richard E. Grant
Mahershala Ali feels like a likely winner since he’s a way for them to reward Green Book and they could rectify the fact that they didn’t reward him for Moonlight. That being said, the newfound star power of Timothee Chalamet could allow him to be a dark horse in this category despite him being the sole representation of his picture. Richard E. Grant could be a spoiler as well given his current critical momentum and his effortless charm on the campaign trail. Hopefully, that’s not a case of wishful thinking.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Michael B. Jordan, Black Panther
Best Supporting Actress In A Motion Picture:
Amy Adams, Vice
Claire Foy, First Man
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
Will Win: Amy Adams
Could/Should Win: Regina King
This one’s a bit of a coin toss. It boils down to Amy Adams and Regina King with the slight edge going to Amy Adams. Adams is a Globes darling, having been rewarded twice for American Hustle and Big Eyes, and is pulling off double duty in this category and Best Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie for Sharp Objects. However, Regina King is pulling off double duty in the same categories as well. Because Adams is an easy frontrunner to win for Sharp Objects, do they spread the wealth and give this award to King to spread the wealth? Could King benefit from her SAG snub and win in one of the few chances she’ll have this season to step onto a winning podium?
Adams may be out in front but King is still looking to be a potential spoiler.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians
Best Director:
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Peter Farrelly, Green Book
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Adam McKay, Vice
Will Win: Bradley Cooper
Could Win: Spike Lee
Should Win: Alfonso Cuaron
If the night becomes a Star Is Born love fest, then Bradley Cooper could be the one that wins out here. However, if they want to start the overdue train on Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman, he could be a potential spoiler. Spike Lee may not really one to play the celebrity game which the HFPA typically prefers but Gary Oldman once bashed the HFPA and still won last year. So, anything could happen.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk
Best Screenplay:
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly, and Nick Vallelonga, Green Book
Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara, The Favourite
Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk
Adam McKay, Vice
Will Win: Ehr….I don’t know
Could Win: Anybody
Should Win: Barry Jenkins
I honestly don’t know what wins here. My suspicion is that it could be the writers of Green Book. But it could also go to Adam McKay or even Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara. With this category, we’re basically throwing darts. If it were to go Barry Jenkins, however, that would be pleasing. But it could go in any direction.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Best Animated Feature:
Incredibles 2
Isle Of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks The Internet
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse
Will Win: Incredibles 2
Could Win: Isle Of Dogs
Should Win: Spider-Man
Because the Best Animated Feature race tends to become the Disney Award, this’ll likely go to Incredibles 2. However, because Isle Of Dogs received a Score nomination, there is some passion that could result in an upset win here. Fingers crossed that voters become taken by the awe-inspiring animation of Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse, though.
Should’ve Been Nominated: N/A
Best Foreign Language Film:
Capernaum (Lebanon)
Girl (Belgium)
Never Look Away (Germany)
Roma (Mexico)
Shoplifters (Japan)
Will/Should Win: Roma
Could Win: Nothing
This is probably one of the few categories that feels like a no-brainer. Roma will win without breaking a sweat.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Burning (South Korea)
Best Original Score:
Marco Beltrami, A Quiet Place
Alexandre Desplat, Isle Of Dogs
Ludwig Goransson, Black Panther
Justin Hurwitz, First Man
Marc Shaiman, Mary Poppins Returns
Will Win: Marc Shaiman
Could/Should Win: Justin Hurwitz
Tough call but I’ll go with Marc Shaiman for the win. Aside from Emily Blunt, this is one way for them to reward Mary Poppins Returns. That being said, because they’ve rewarded Justin Hurwitz before for La La Land, there’s a possibility they could reward him again. Again, this is a tough call.
Should’ve Been Nominated: Nicholas Britell, If Beale Street Could Talk
Best Original Song:
“All The Stars” from Black Panther
“Girl In The Movies” from Dumplin’
“Requiem For A Private War” from A Private War
“Revelation” from Boy Erased
“Shallow” from A Star Is Born
Will Win: “Shallow”
Could Win: N/A
Should Win: “All The Stars”
The safest call of the night. If anything were to beat “Shallow,” it would literally be jaw-dropping. “All The Stars” should have a stronger chance. But there’s no doubt in my mind that “Shallow” is going to win this.
Should’ve Been Nominated: “The Place Where Lost Things Go” from Mary Poppins Returns
Those are my Golden Globe predictions. Do you agree or disagree? Please share your thoughts in the comments section. Thanks for reading!
76th Golden Globes: Who Will, Could, And Should Win?
