Yes, I’m cheating a little here too with the blessing of writing this in January, but we now know Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach’s screenplay for Barbie is being forced to compete here in the adapted category. Gerwig and Baumbach face a tougher battle to land a nomination in this incredibly crowded field, but it would be unfathomable to see it receive something like 8-10 nominations and miss for screenplay.
While it’s hard to select a winner at this stage, there are three absolute locks for nominations in Oppenheimer, Killers of the Flower Moon, and Poor Things, which all scored nods from both the Golden Globe Awards and the Critics Choice Awards. Barbie did as well, but obviously in Original Screenplay with CCA. There’s a lot of love out there for American Fiction, but it feels like All of Us Strangers is starting to pick up steam at the right moment, so it’s getting my final spot for now.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY PREDICTIONS:
1. Killers of the Flower Moon – Eric Roth, Martin Scorsese (Paramount Pictures / Apple Original Films) – CCA, GG
2. Oppenheimer – Christopher Nolan (Universal Pictures) – CCA, GG
3. Poor Things – Tony McNamara (Searchlight Pictures) – CCA, GG
4. Barbie – Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach (Warner Bros.) – CCA, GG
5. All of Us Strangers – Andrew Haigh (Searchlight Pictures) – CCA
IN CONTENTION:
American Fiction – Cord Jefferson (Amazon MGM/Orion) – CCA
Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. – Kelly Fremon Craig (Lionsgate) – CCA
The Color Purple – Marcus Gardley (Warner Bros.)
Ferrari – Troy Kennedy Martin (NEON)
The Killer – Andrew Kevin Walker (Netflix)
Priscilla – Sofia Coppola (A24)
Society of the Snow – J. A. Bayona, Bernat Vilaplana, Jaime Marques, Nicolás Casariego (Netflix)
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse – Phil Lord, Christopher Miller, Dave Callaham (Sony Pictures)
The Taste of Things – Trần Anh Hung (IFC Films)
The Zone of Interest – Jonathan Glazer (A24)