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Best Supporting Actor Oscars Predictions (December)

The Golden Globe Awards and the Critics Choice Awards both picked the same five contenders for Best Supporting Actor in Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon), Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer), Ryan Gosling (Barbie), Charles Melton (May December), and Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things). It’s starting to look like that may be the final five at the Oscars as well. They both honour six nominees and ultimately differed on their sixth spot. The former went with Willem Dafoe (Poor Things) and the latter went with Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction). Could one of those crack the Academy’s top five?

If someone is to slip, the smart money would probably be on Melton. He’s a newcomer in a field of previous nominees and May December isn’t as strong overall. But there’s a lot of love out there for Melton and his wins with groups like the New York Film Critics Circle and at the Gotham Awards should surely be enough to keep him in contention. If anyone is in danger, it might be De Niro. Just think of how assured his nomination felt for The Irishman and we know how that turned out.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR PREDICTIONS:
1. Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – CCA, GG
2. Ryan Gosling – Barbie (Warner Bros.) – CCA, GG
3. Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – CCA, GG
4. Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon (Paramount Pictures / Apple Original Films) – CCA, GG
5. Charles Melton – May December (Netflix) – CCA, GG

IN CONTENTION:
Jamie Bell – All of Us Strangers (Searchlight Pictures)
Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction (Amazon MGM Studios) – CCA
Willem Dafoe – Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – GG
Colman Domingo – The Color Purple (Warner Bros.)
Jacob Elordi – Saltburn (Amazon Studios)
Glenn Howerton – BlackBerry (IFC Films)
John Magaro – Past Lives (A24)
Paul Mescal – All of Us Strangers (Searchlight Pictures)
Peter Sarsgaard – Memory (Ketchup Entertainment)
Dominic Sessa – The Holdovers (Focus Features)


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