Best Supporting Actor Oscars Predictions (December)

With Warner Bros. announcing Judas and the Black Messiah will debut in cinemas and on HBO Max on February 12 and confirmation Daniel Kaluuya will be campaigned in the supporting race, he rockets straight to frontrunner status. A few select members of the film industry have now seen the film and their reaction has been overwhelmingly positive, so this could be Kaluuya’s year.

The surprise package of the critics awards so far has been Sound of Metal‘s Paul Raci, who won the Supporting Actor prize from the critics groups of Boston and Florida plus nominations from Los Angeles, Chicago, Indiana, and Music City. The film has also performed well with the critics groups and Amazon Studios is campaigning it like crazy, so he jumps into the top 5 this month.

But don’t count out Leslie Odom Jr. just yet. One Night in Miami has still yet to debut the film on Amazon Prime (it’s set to launch on January 15) and Amazon have barely started their awards season campaign just yet. With confirmation Hamilton will be eligible at the Golden Globes (though likely not at the Oscars), Odom Jr. will be everywhere this season.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR PREDICTIONS:
1. Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros.)
2. Leslie Odom Jr – One Night in Miami (Amazon Studios)
3. Chadwick Boseman – Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)
4. Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
5. Paul Raci – Sound of Metal (Amazon Studios)

MAJOR CONTENDERS:
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
Charles Dance – Mank (Netflix)
Brian Dennehy – Driveways (FilmRise)
Richard E. Grant – Everybody’s Talking About Jamie (20th Century Studios)
Bill Murray – On the Rocks (AppleTV+)
Eddie Redmayne – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
Mark Rylance – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
David Strathairn – Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures)
Stanley Tucci – Supernova (Bleecker Street)
Glynn Turman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)