With a lack of precursor awards in November, it’s really all about perceptions in the race for Best Supporting Actor. While many debate whether Kieran Culkin is playing a game of category fraud here, few can deny his performance in A Real Pain is something special. He nabbed a Gotham nomination, which isn’t exactly key to the Oscar race, but it’s a good starting point. In a very open race, he’s nudged to the front for now.
There have been question marks surrounding the awards chances of Sing Sing, given it was released way back in June. But its strong showing at the Gotham noms proves it hasn’t been forgotten and A24 seems likely to give it their full support this season. That bodes well for Clarance Maclin and the story behind his performance is the kind the Academy could easily fall in love with.
While there’s been a lot of love for Anora for months now, the growing chorus to nominate Yura Borislov only grows louder by the week. Like Culkin and Maclin, he also scored a Gotham nod, which is a great boost to his campaign. The film is undeniably Mikey Madison’s, but Borislov steals focus every chance he gets. If Anora sweeps the categories, he could be pulled along for the ride.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR PREDICTIONS:
1. Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain (Searchlight Pictures)
2. Clarence Maclin – Sing Sing (A24)
3. Guy Pearce – The Brutalist (A24)
4. Denzel Washington – Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures)
5. Yura Borislov – Anora (Neon)
IN CONTENTION
Harris Dickinson – Babygirl (A24)
Mark Eydelshteyn – Anora (NEON)
Ray Fisher – The Piano Lesson (Netflix)
Brian Tyree Henry – The Fire Inside (Amazon MGM Studios)
John Lithgow – Conclave (Focus Features)
John Magaro – September 5 (Paramount Pictures)
Edward Norton – A Complete Unknown (Searchlight Pictures)
Adam Pearson – A Different Man (A24)
Joseph Quinn – Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures)
Jeremy Strong – The Apprentice (Briarcliff Entertainment)
Stanley Tucci – Conclave (Focus Features)
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