With the Academy’s nominations announcement drawing closer by the day, it’s time to lay it all on the line with my final Oscar nomination predictions. In the race for Best Cinematography, The Brutalist, Conclave, Nosferatu, and Dune: Part Two have all scored nods from the three major precursor bodies in BAFTA, Critics Choice, and the American Society of Cinematographers. They should all be considered fairly solid locks for Oscar nods.
There are many predicting a snub for Greig Fraser. It could happen. Most thought he was a shoo-in for a nomination for The Batman in 2022 and he still missed. And Fraser could suffer from the fact he won this award for the film’s predecessor. I’m not bold enough to predict it. I can’t ignore the fact Fraser hasn’t missed a beat all season.
That leaves that final two spots up for grabs and it’s damn hard to know what gets through. Nickel Boys has performed strongly with the critics, but the fact it only nabbed a Spotlight nomination from ASC was a big dent to its campaign. A Complete Unknown has picked up a lot of steam in the latter stages of the season and could slip in here. Maybe that BAFTA nod for Emilia Pérez suggests Oscar is next. But I think they’ll go with veteran Edward Lachman (Maria), especially after his nod last year for El Conde.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY PREDICTIONS:
1. The Brutalist – Lol Crawley (A24) – ASC, BAFTA, BSC, CCA
2. Conclave – Stéphane Fontaine (Focus Features) ASC, BAFTA, BSC, CCA
3. Nosferatu – Jarin Blaschke (Focus Features) – ASC, BAFTA, BSC, CCA
4. Dune: Part Two – Greig Fraser (Warner Bros.) – ASC, BAFTA, BSC, CCA
5. Maria – Edward Lachman (Netflix) – ASC
Alternate: Nickel Boys – Jomo Fray (Amazon MGM Studios) – ASC (Spotlight), CCA
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