Without any major awards in November, the battle for Best Picture remains stagnant until December brings a slew of major announcements from big critics groups that could shake up this race and maybe even start to highlight what’s emerging as our frontrunner. I’m keeping Anora out in front for now, but films like Conclave and The Brutalist are breathing down its neck. One key win is all it could take to topple Sean Baker’s Palme d’Or winner.
The one event in November that did rattle everyone’s Best Picture predictions was the huge debut of the movie musical sensation Wicked. With stellar reviews and a stunning opening box office figure, it’s now feeling unfathomable Jon M. Chu’s phenomenon won’t land a slew of Oscar nominations including one in the big race. But could it be the first musical to win Best Picture since Chicago in 2002? Look, anything is possible, especially in a race without a dominant frontrunner like Oppenheimer last year. And, clearly, it would be well received by the general public. But let’s see what happens in December and how it performs with the critics groups.
BEST PICTURE PREDICTIONS:
1. Anora (Neon)
2. Conclave (Focus Features)
3. The Brutalist (A24)
4. Wicked (Universal Pictures)
5. Emilia Pérez (Netflix)
6. Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros.)
7. Sing Sing (A24)
8. Nickel Boys (Amazon MGM Studios)
9. A Real Pain (Searchlight Pictures)
10. A Complete Unknown (Searchlight Pictures)
IN CONTENTION
Blitz (Apple Original Films)
Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures)
Nosferatu (Focus Features)
Queer (A24)
The Room Next Door (Sony Pictures Classics)
Saturday Night (Sony Pictures)
The Seed of the Sacred Fig (NEON)
September 5 (Paramount Pictures)
The Substance (MUBI)
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