With the Academy’s nominations announcement drawing closer by the day, it’s time to lay it all on the line with my final Oscar nomination predictions. And, with BAFTA nominations coming five days after the Academy’s announcement, we’re flying without that typical precursor stat. At least we have their longlists for some reference.
Without the BAFTA noms or the nominees from the American Cinema Editors (they’re also coming on January 27), we’re left to try our best to deduce the Best Film Editing nominees from other precursors and pure gut feeling. One Battle After Another, Sinners, F1, and Marty Supreme all landed a nod at the Critics Choice Awards and appear on the BAFTA longlist, so they feel like our strongest four.
That leaves our final spot for the taking. I think it’s coming down to a battle between Hamnet and Frankenstein. Even in a field of six nominees, the former missed a nod from the CCA, which could prove very telling. But I think its recent Golden Globe win for Best Motion Picture – Drama proves it’s a stronger Best Picture contender than some were starting to suspect. And that typically bodes well for an editing nod. Like many categories, the fifth slot is the toughest to predict, so flip a coin to make your final choice.
BEST FILM EDITING PREDICTIONS:
1. One Battle After Another – Andy Jurgensen (Warner Bros.) – BAFTA longlist, CCA
2. Sinners – Michael P. Shawver (Warner Bros.) – BAFTA longlist, CCA
3. F1 – Stephen Mirrione (Apple Original Films) – BAFTA longlist, CCA
4. Marty Supreme – Ronald Bronstein (A24) – BAFTA longlist, CCA
5. Hamnet – Chloé Zhao & Affonso Gonçalves (Focus Features) – BAFTA longlist
Alternate: Frankenstein – Evan Schiff (Netflix) – BAFTA longlist
