Final Oscars Predictions – Best Adapted Screenplay

Thankfully, Best Adapted Screenplay is one of the rare easy to predict categories this year. With wins at the BAFTAs, Critics Choice Awards, Golden Globe Awards, and USC Scripter Awards, Conclave has steamrolled through the precursor season to stand as one of the few absolute locks of Oscar night. You’d have to presume if it was eligible at WGA, it would have won there too. I won’t waste your time in even prophesising a potential upset. It’s not happening.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY PREDICTIONS:
1. Conclave (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, USC
Peter Straughan
2. Nickel Boys (Amazon MGM Studios) – BAFTA, CCA, WGA, USC
RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes
3. Emilia Pérez (Netflix) – BAFTA, CCA, EFA, GG
Jacques Audiard
4. A Complete Unknown (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, WGA, USC
Jay Cocks, James Mangold
5. Sing Sing (A24) – BAFTA, CCA, USC
Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield

Will win: Conclave
Should win: Conclave
Possible shocker: Nickel Boys