There is only one name dominating the critics groups race for Best Supporting Actress thus far and that’s Da’Vine Joy Randolph for The Holdovers. While she’s lost a few times to Rachel McAdams (Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret.), she is sweeping the season in a way that feels reminiscent of Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) last year. With noms from the Golden Globe Awards and Critics Choice Awards, Randolph is undoubtedly our frontrunner for now.
The Globes and CCA agreed on five of their six nomination slots in Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer), Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple), Jodie Foster (Nyad), and Julianne Moore (May December) and it’s plausible those will be our final Oscars five. Foster is probably the most in danger of missing an Oscar nom like she did in 2020 for The Mauritanian, particularly with Nyad not standing as a major contender anywhere else.
That leaves the door open for all sorts of possibilities for that fifth spot. Maybe it’s Globe nominee Rosamund Pike (Saltburn) or CCA’s pick of America Ferrera (Barbie). Ferrera has one of the most talked about moments in the film and that monologue could be more than enough to snatch an Oscar nom. But I’m sticking with my wild card pick of Penélope Cruz (Ferrari) for now. We know the Academy loves her and she’s the best thing about that film.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR PREDICTIONS:
1. Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers (Focus Features) – CCA, GG
2. Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple (Warner Bros.) – CCA, GG
3. Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – CCA, GG
4. Julianne Moore – May December (Netflix) – CCA, GG
5. Penélope Cruz – Ferrari (NEON)
IN CONTENTION:
Juliette Binoche – The Taste of Things (IFC Films)
Viola Davis – Air (Amazon Studios)
America Ferrera – Barbie (Warner Bros.) – CCA
Jodie Foster – Nyad (Netflix) – CCA, GG
Claire Foy – All of Us Strangers (Searchlight Pictures)
Sandra Hüller – The Zone of Interest (A24)
Vanessa Kirby – Napoleon (Sony Pictures / Apple Original Films)
Taraji P. Henson – The Color Purple (Warner Bros.)
Rachel McAdams – Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. (Lionsgate)
Rosamund Pike – Saltburn (Amazon MGM Studios) – GG
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